Newtown
4 - 1
Cardiff MU

Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Cardiff MU
43.38%	24.77%	31.84%

Both teams to score 57.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33%

45.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

67.99%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89%

21.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7%

27.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26%

62.74%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 43.38%

Cardiff MU 31.84%

Draw 24.77%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Cardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 7.55% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.84%