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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
46.9% ( -1.5) | 24.83% ( 0.37) | 28.27% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.84) | 47.66% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.79) | 69.86% ( 0.79) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.96) | 20.38% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( -1.56) | 52.79% ( 1.56) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.41) | 30.75% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( 0.48) | 67.02% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.27% |
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