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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
39.07% ( 3.52) | 26.29% ( 0.48) | 34.64% ( -4) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( -2.17) | 51.56% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -1.92) | 73.35% ( 1.92) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.98) | 25.84% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( 1.3) | 60.81% ( -1.3) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -3.33) | 28.41% ( 3.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( -4.39) | 64.16% ( 4.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 1.08) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.9)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.64% |
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