SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
55.26% ( -0.19) | 23.04% ( 0.03) | 21.7% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.06) | 45.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.06) | 68.09% ( -0.05) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( -0.04) | 16.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.91% ( -0.08) | 46.09% ( 0.08) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( 0.19) | 35.23% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.2) | 71.99% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.26% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.7% |
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