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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
57.56% ( -0.59) | 22.58% ( -0.01) | 19.85% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0.86) | 46.16% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.81) | 68.46% ( -0.81) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.1) | 15.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( 0.18) | 44.9% ( -0.18) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( 1.14) | 37.31% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( 1.11) | 74.09% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.63% Total : 19.85% |
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