SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
25.56% ( 0.91) | 24.28% ( -0.06) | 50.16% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( 1.05) | 47.26% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.97) | 69.49% ( -0.97) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( 1.33) | 32.64% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 1.46) | 69.19% ( -1.46) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( 0.07) | 18.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( 0.12) | 50.34% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.56% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.15% |
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