Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%).