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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Bala Town |
28.21% ( -0.03) | 23.48% ( -0.08) | 48.31% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.34) | 41.69% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.34) | 64.09% ( -0.34) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.15) | 27.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( 0.19) | 63.29% ( -0.19) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.17) | 17.45% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( 0.29) | 47.92% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.89% Total : 48.31% |
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