SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
15.71% ( -0.14) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 63.22% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( -0.2) | 46.36% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( -0.18) | 68.64% ( 0.19) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.31) | 42.31% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.27) | 78.7% ( 0.27) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0.01) | 14.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -0.03) | 41.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.71% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.44% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 63.2% |
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