SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
12.84% ( -0.15) | 16.67% ( -0.08) | 70.49% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.03) | 32.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.38% ( 0.04) | 53.62% ( -0.04) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.2) | 37.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% ( -0.19) | 73.97% ( 0.19) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.06) | 8.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.53% ( 0.14) | 28.47% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 12.84% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.67% | 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 70.49% |
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