SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
40.39% ( -0.08) | 23.62% ( 0.2) | 35.99% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( -0.98) | 39.11% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( -1.04) | 61.44% ( 1.04) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( -0.45) | 19.7% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( -0.74) | 51.71% ( 0.74) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.51) | 21.82% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -0.78) | 55.04% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.99% |
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