SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
71.94% ( -0.05) | 16.76% ( 0.02) | 11.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% ( -0.06) | 36.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.92% ( -0.06) | 59.08% ( 0.06) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% ( -0.03) | 9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.32% ( -0.06) | 30.67% ( 0.06) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0) | 42.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( -0) | 79.26% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 71.94% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.29% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
