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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Cardiff MU

Wilde (2'), Horan (63'), Williams (88')
Morris (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewis (18')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
57.52%23.07%19.41%
Both teams to score 50.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21%48.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11%70.89%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3%16.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41%46.59%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24%76%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.52%
    Cardiff MU 19.41%
    Draw 23.07%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.41%

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