Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.