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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Harling (21')
Borge (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harrison (35')
Curran (69'), Owens (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.46%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
14.22%21.07%64.71%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83%49.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76%71.24%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.89%46.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2%81.8%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53%14.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57%42.43%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 14.22%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 64.7%
    Draw 21.07%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.16%
2-1 @ 3.87%
2-0 @ 2%
3-1 @ 1%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 14.22%
1-1 @ 9.98%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 12.89%
0-2 @ 12.46%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-3 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 6.22%
0-4 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.16%
1-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 64.7%

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