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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2020 at 2.15pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
6 - 0
Caernarfon

Georgievsky (14', 56'), Harling (45+2', 67'), Ahmun (69'), Traylor (75')
Harris (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edwards (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
34.95%24.24%40.81%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68%42.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28%64.72%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96%58.04%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13%20.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43%53.57%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 34.95%
    Caernarfon Town 40.81%
    Draw 24.23%
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.01%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.95%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-1 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 40.81%

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