Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.