Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 65.47%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Druids win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.