Druids
1 - 3
Caernarfon

Mooney (72')
Smith (41'), Flint (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Donohue (42'), Edwards (47'), Beaumont (58')
Hughes (28'), Bailey (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Druids and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Druids had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Druids win it was 2-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Druids	Draw	Caernarfon Town
12.22%	16.01%	71.77%

Both teams to score 58.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.37%

51.63%

Druids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06%

36.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27%

73.73%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.57%

7.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.26%

26.75%

Score Analysis

Druids 12.22%

Caernarfon Town 71.77%

Draw 16.01%

Druids	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 3.54% 1-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.53% 2-0 @ 1.36% 3-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.22%	1-1 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.01%	0-2 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.14% 0-4 @ 5.23% 1-4 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-5 @ 2.72% 1-5 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 2.59% 2-5 @ 1.35% 0-6 @ 1.18% 1-6 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.77%