Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 97.15%. A draw had a probability of 2.3% and a win for Druids had a probability of 0.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-4 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (12.91%) and 0-3 (12.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.1%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (0.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.