Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 79.52%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Druids had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.