SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Barry Town United |
55.63% ( -0.22) | 20.71% ( 0.08) | 23.66% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.44% ( -0.2) | 32.56% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.23) | 54.21% ( 0.23) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% ( -0.13) | 11.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.92% ( -0.27) | 37.08% ( 0.27) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( 0.01) | 61.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 23.66% |
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