SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
22.48% ( -0.05) | 22.17% ( -0.04) | 55.35% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.14) | 40.96% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( 0.14) | 63.35% ( -0.15) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0.03) | 31.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( 0.04) | 68.26% ( -0.04) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( 0.08) | 14.71% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( 0.15) | 42.9% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 55.35% |
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