SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.38%) and 1-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Barry Town United |
50.8% ( -0) | 21.56% | 27.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 66.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.14% ( -0) | 32.85% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.44% ( -0) | 54.56% ( 0) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0) | 13.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.76% ( -0) | 40.24% ( 0) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% | 57.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-3 @ 1.08% 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 3.15% 3-3 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.16% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.63% |
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