SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Barry Town United |
63.66% ( -0) | 20.01% ( 0) | 16.33% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% | 40.42% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0) | 62.8% ( -0) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0) | 12.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.44% ( -0) | 37.56% ( 0) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( 0) | 37.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( 0) | 74.68% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.75% Total : 63.66% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.33% |
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