SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
67.88% ( 0.04) | 18.64% ( 0.01) | 13.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.14) | 40.14% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.15) | 62.51% ( 0.16) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( -0.03) | 10.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.05% ( -0.07) | 34.94% ( 0.07) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.16) | 41.57% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% ( -0.14) | 78.06% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.17% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
