SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
53.26% ( -0.5) | 22.13% ( 0.18) | 24.61% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.55) | 38.4% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.58) | 60.69% ( 0.58) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.35) | 14.51% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( -0.68) | 42.51% ( 0.67) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( -0.05) | 28.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -0.07) | 64.46% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 24.61% |
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