Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
