Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
