Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Druids had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-3 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Druids win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
