Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
