SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
57.79% ( 0.04) | 24.02% ( -0.03) | 18.19% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.12) | 54.13% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( 0.1) | 75.55% ( -0.1) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.06) | 18.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.1) | 49.81% ( -0.1) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.19% ( 0.07) | 43.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.03% ( 0.06) | 79.97% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 57.78% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 18.19% |
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