SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
44.22% ( 0.23) | 27.64% ( -0.01) | 28.14% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.58% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.06) | 58.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.75% ( -0.05) | 79.25% ( 0.05) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.09) | 26.41% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( 0.12) | 61.57% ( -0.12) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.21) | 36.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.21) | 73.49% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.14% |
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