Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
30.59% ( 0.02) | 26.73% ( 0.09) | 42.68% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.63% ( -0.35) | 54.36% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.25% ( -0.29) | 75.74% ( 0.29) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.47% ( -0.17) | 32.53% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.94% ( -0.19) | 69.06% ( 0.18) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -0.22) | 25.22% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( -0.3) | 59.96% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.68% |
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