SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
60.75% ( -0.2) | 21.98% ( 0.14) | 17.27% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.47) | 47.44% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( -0.43) | 69.66% ( 0.44) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.22) | 15.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.25% ( -0.42) | 43.75% ( 0.42) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.03% ( -0.2) | 40.97% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.47% ( -0.18) | 77.53% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.74% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.27% |
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