SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
21.07% ( 0.16) | 25.19% ( 0.12) | 53.74% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( -0.28) | 55.04% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( -0.23) | 76.31% ( 0.23) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.01) | 41.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.33% ( 0.01) | 77.66% ( -0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.23) | 20.48% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( -0.36) | 52.96% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.73% |
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