Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
