Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.