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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
 

New Saints
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Harrington (18'), Jefferies (28' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ahmun (7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
71.25%16.95%11.8%
Both teams to score 53.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67%36.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54%58.46%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99%9.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.3%30.7%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82%78.18%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 71.25%
    Pen-y-Bont 11.8%
    Draw 16.95%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 7.64%
4-0 @ 5.26%
4-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.34%
5-0 @ 2.53%
5-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 2.01%
6-0 @ 1.02%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 71.25%
1-1 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 4.16%
0-0 @ 3.76%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-1 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 11.8%

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