Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
67.93% ( 0.66)	18.99% ( -0.28)	13.08% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

0.38)

42.72% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

0.38)

65.12% (

-0.38)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

0.29)

11.56% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.49% (

0.62)

36.51% (

-0.62)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.18% (

-0.34)

43.82% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.02% (

-0.28)

79.98% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 67.93%

Pen-y-Bont 13.08%

Draw 18.99%

The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 67.93%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.99%	0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.08%