Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clark (49'), McManus (79')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	The New Saints
19.64% ( 0.14)	21.66% ( 0)	58.69% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

0.18)

42.39% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

0.18)

64.79% (

-0.18)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

0.24)

35.34% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

0.25)

72.1% (

-0.26)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

0.01)

14.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

0.03)

41.78% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 19.64%

The New Saints 58.69%

Draw 21.66%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.64%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 58.69%