Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | The New Saints | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Pen-y-Bont | 2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 2 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Aberystwyth Town | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
49.39% ( 0.52) | 26.64% ( 0.74) | 23.97% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 46.13% ( -3.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% ( -3.6) | 57.67% ( 3.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( -2.93) | 78.42% ( 2.93) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( -1.3) | 23.44% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( -1.92) | 57.45% ( 1.92) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( -3.13) | 39.74% ( 3.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% ( -3.02) | 76.41% ( 3.02) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 1.29) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.38% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.38% Total : 23.97% |
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