SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haverfordwest County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Newtown AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | The New Saints | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
20.51% ( 0.01) | 22.98% ( 0.01) | 56.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.01) | 46.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.01) | 69.21% ( 0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( 0) | 37.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% | 73.87% ( 0) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.01) | 16.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.94% ( -0.01) | 46.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.51% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 0-2 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 56.51% |
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