Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.3%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.
