Arsenal will be looking to take a lead into the second leg in Germany, but they face a formidable Wolfsburg team that have already played in London this season, with the Wolves playing out a 3-3 draw against Chelsea, and we think that the visitors will see another contest with an English side end all square on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
