SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
31.28% ( 0.02) | 24.96% | 43.77% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( 0.01) | 46.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( 0.01) | 68.97% ( -0.01) |
| Ajax Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.02) | 28.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( 0.02) | 63.87% ( -0.02) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% | 21.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% | 54.35% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.77% |
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