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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Ajax Women |
46.32% ( 0.67) | 22.69% ( -0.02) | 30.99% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 64.44% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.21) | 36.2% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.69% ( -0.23) | 58.31% ( 0.23) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 0.17) | 16.1% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( 0.31) | 45.51% ( -0.31) |
| Ajax Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.47) | 23.19% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( -0.7) | 57.09% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Ajax Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.99% |
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