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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
1 - 1
Chelsea Women

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Chelsea Women (Barcelona Women to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Barcelona have gone five years without losing a home Champions League game, and we do not see that changing in the second leg. We think that Chelsea will be able to trouble their hosts and get on the scoresheet, but we believe the Catalan giants will utilise their firepower to claim a narrow victory on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 7.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawChelsea Women
80.04% (0.309 0.31) 12.52% (-0.158 -0.16) 7.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.67% (0.252 0.25)28.33% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.85% (0.309 0.31)49.15% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.53% (0.105 0.11)5.47% (-0.1009 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.65% (0.29900000000001 0.3)21.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33% (-0.166 -0.17)44.67% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (-0.134 -0.13)80.67% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 80.03%
    Chelsea Women 7.44%
    Draw 12.52%
Barcelona WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.99% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 7.26% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 4.22% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 3.4% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 2.05% (0.048 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.65% (0.031 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 80.03%
1-1 @ 5.72% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.52%
1-2 @ 2.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 2-6 Barcelona
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 7 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-2 Lyon (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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