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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Barcelona


Kerr (37'), James (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graham Hansen (4')
Pilar Leon (41'), Walsh (63'), Panos (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women

Chelsea have not lost a competitive home game since March 2022, while Barcelona have only suffered one competitive defeat all season. With both teams proving tough to beat, we think a cagey encounter will produce a draw, which would leave the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
16.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 64.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.33% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.017999999999986 0.02)32.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)9.4% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)31.62% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 16.59%
    Barcelona Women 64.96%
    Draw 18.45%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-2 Lyon (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 2-6 Barcelona
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 7 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 24 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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