SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
64.97% ( 0.07) | 19.25% ( 0.05) | 15.78% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.05% ( -0.49) | 37.95% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.79% ( -0.53) | 60.21% ( 0.53) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.13) | 10.98% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.28) | 35.23% ( 0.27) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.46) | 37.06% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.46) | 73.84% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.43% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.25% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 15.78% |
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