SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
57.3% ( 0.17) | 21.86% ( -0.07) | 20.84% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% ( 0.17) | 41.63% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( 0.17) | 64.03% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.11) | 14.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( 0.22) | 42.14% ( -0.22) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0) | 33.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0) | 70.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.84% |
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